CZ Binance Founder: This Crypto Bull Run Could Make You Rich | E187
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Q: What does CZ say about the upcoming crypto "Big Run"?
What is CZ's outlook on the crypto market? He believes the market is nowhere near saturated, with less than 1% penetration, and that the future fintech market size will be much larger.
1. CZ's Background and Philosophy
CZ, the founder of Binance, identifies as a "crypto guy" and attributes his drive to his upbringing as a second-generation immigrant.1.1. Identity and Role in Crypto
- CZ describes himself as a "crypto guy" or "crypto sales guy," a term President Trump also used .
- He is a strong believer in blockchain technologies and dedicates most of his energy to them .
- He advises various countries on crypto regulatory frameworks .
1.2. Childhood and Drive
- CZ grew up fairly poor after his family immigrated to Canada .
- Both his parents worked at close to minimum wage .
- This created pressure compared to his wealthier friends from Taiwan and Hong Kong .
- He feels lucky to have stood on his parents' shoulders, as they immigrated for his and his sister's benefit .
- He is a second-generation immigrant, and this generation often sees their parents' hardship and is driven to push forward .
- This drive is what he believes is pushing him .
1.3. Sister's Career and Retirement
- CZ's sister is also a technologist who worked at a startup in Tokyo and then at Morgan Stanley .
- She became one of the managing directors at Morgan Stanley at a young age, a position held by only about 400 people globally .
- She retired at age 42 after experiencing post-natal depression and now consults others going through similar issues .
- CZ mentioned a belief that "third or fourth generations degenerate," but he doesn't have a solution for his own kids yet .
- He believes education is important but acknowledges it is hard .
2. Binance's Genesis and Operational Philosophy
Binance started with an existing team and system, prioritizing a humble, hardworking, and synchronized team culture, with a focus on effective results over long hours.
2.1. The Founding of Binance
- Binance began differently from other startups, with an existing team of 15-20 people working on BJ Tech .
- BJ Tech sold exchange systems, primarily to traditional markets like those trading stamps and jade, not crypto exchanges .
- In May 2017, CZ gathered his team to propose starting a crypto-to-crypto exchange .
- He believed it was the right time and that if they didn't do it then, they likely never would .
- The team had the product and system but lacked marketing and customer support, as BJ Tech was a B2B business .
- The team unanimously agreed to launch Binance, debating domain names in a small conference room .
2.2. Binance's Early Success Factors
- CZ states there was nothing "super special" about Binance's early days, but the team was hardworking and down-to-earth .
- There was very little ego, and the team was humble and capable of execution .
- The team was highly synchronized, with most members trusting CZ and willing to follow him .
- CZ notes a cultural difference: in Asian culture, once people follow a leader, they tend to follow almost blindly, making it hard to solicit feedback .
- This culture leads to excellent execution if the leader has the right idea, but disaster if the idea is wrong .
- Luckily, Binance "got lucky" with the right ideas .
2.3. Definition of Hard Work
- For CZ, hard work means producing results and being effective, which is more important than working long hours .
- Many people work long hours without producing anything substantial .
- Producing high-quality products that people love, even while working long hours, is crucial .
- Passionate people don't measure hours; they focus on the quality of results generated in a short period .
- In Binance, especially in the early days and even now, people don't think about the hours they work; they just get things done when needed .
3. Misconceptions, Market Dynamics, and the "4" Meme
CZ addresses common misconceptions about Binance, explains why many crypto projects fail, and shares the origin of the "4" meme as a way to ignore FUD.
3.1. Misconceptions About Binance
- A common misconception is that Binance is a Chinese company, which it is not, despite having many Chinese employees .
- Some people view centralized exchanges as "bad or evil," but Binance promotes decentralization .
- Most crypto users currently prefer centralized exchanges for their ease of use, like email/password and customer support, over wallet addresses .
- CZ believes the future is decentralized, and Binance invests heavily in the decentralized ecosystem .
3.2. Project Failures and Investor Access
- CZ explains that in any market or industry, the majority of projects will fail .
- For example, out of millions of internet companies, only a few dozen or hundred are successful today .
- The same pattern is expected for AI companies, where most will fail, but successful ones will be "enormously successful" .
- The public nature of crypto tokens means everyone can invest and potentially "get burnt," unlike early internet companies .
- CZ believes that preventing people from investing early through "accredited investor protection" will ultimately make them poorer .
- His philosophy is to give people access and education so they can decide for themselves .
3.3. Retail Investor Success and Market Self-Selection
- CZ believes retail investors can win, but there are fine balances, especially regarding advertising .
- False promises in advertising hurt people, but the line between false and true is a gradient, allowing for overhyping or ambiguous wording .
- Binance encourages founders to do the right thing and educates users to evaluate projects based on fundamentals rather than just hype or marketing .
- Regulatory frameworks with disclosure requirements, similar to stock markets, are also important but largely absent in crypto .
- In the long run, projects that build sustainably and solidly will last, as the market has a self-selection process .
3.4. The "4" Meme Origin
- The "4" meme originated from a Twitter post CZ made in 2023 as a New Year's resolution .
- He resolved to do fewer things, focusing on education, regulatory compliance, and product .
- The fourth point was to ignore FUD (fake news, negative narratives), and he said he would tweet "4" if he saw any FUD .
- The community embraced it, and after CZ and another member posted selfies with four fingers, it became viral .
- CZ uses the "4" tweet when he knows there are inaccuracies in the news .
4. FTX Collapse and Personal Challenges
CZ refutes the claim that his tweet killed FTX, explains the true cause of its collapse, and reflects on the hardest periods of his life, including his time in prison.
4.1. FTX Collapse: CZ's Perspective
- Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX's co-founder, claimed CZ's tweet on November 6, 2022, killed FTX .
- CZ absolutely denies this, stating that if a company can be killed by one tweet from a competitor, it was never a strong company to begin with .
- He argues that no company with a good product, real customers, and proper cash management would collapse due to a single tweet .
- CZ believes his tweet was a public disclosure about Binance's plan to liquidate its FTT tokens over several months, not an attempt to cause market volatility .
- He points out that CoinDesk published an article about FTX's potential insolvency days before his tweet .
- He also notes that Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison's tweet 20 minutes after his may have revealed more critical information .
- CZ's understanding is that FTX collapsed because they misappropriated customer funds, using billions to buy other things, leading to a lack of liquidity when customers tried to withdraw .
4.2. Hardest Periods and Prison Experience
- CZ identifies a few hard periods in his life .
- One was shortly after Binance's launch when the BNB token traded below its ICO price for about 2.5 weeks, causing immense mental pressure due to investor losses .
- Another was dealing with the US government, which lasted for 1.5 to 2 years and was very stressful .
- Regarding his time in prison, CZ's biggest worry was being kept there indefinitely with endless charges .
- He notes that no one in US history, even today, has gone to prison for a single violation of the Banking Secrecy Act .
- Most people are not even charged, and many executives in banks receive a Deferred Prosecution Agreement (DPA) .
- Only Arthur Hayes, another crypto figure, received home confinement during COVID for a similar violation .
5. Presidential Pardon and Binance's Resilience
CZ discusses the process of receiving a presidential pardon, clarifies that he never met President Trump, and explains why he believes Binance's team remained cohesive despite industry challenges.
5.1. The Pardon Process
- CZ clarifies that President Biden pardoned a record number of people (1,700) during his administration, far more than the 10-40 per year mentioned .
- He discussed the pardon process with his lawyers and noted that President Trump had publicly stated intentions to pardon Ross Ulbricht (Silk Road founder) and Arthur Hayes .
- Arthur Hayes's case was similar to CZ's, involving a banking secrecy violation .
- CZ contacted the same lawyer who handled the pardons for Arthur Hayes and Ross Ulbricht .
- He submitted his petition in April 2025, after Arthur Hayes was pardoned in March 2025 .
- CZ never met, spoke with, or exchanged messages with President Trump .
5.2. Justification of the Pardon
- CZ acknowledges his view is biased but states that multiple people believe he was "wrongly treated" and that the pardon was justified .
- He reiterates that no one has gone to prison for a single violation of the Banking Secrecy Act .
- He was charged for not having a strong enough KYC (Know Your Customer) program at Binance, despite not personally handling transactions .
- He points out that current discussions suggest international markets may not require KYC, and US platforms might use geo-fencing for international users .
- He believes that if judged by today's standards, his actions would not be considered problematic, especially compared to "perp decks" (perpetual decentralized exchanges) that have no KYC .
5.3. Team Cohesion During Difficult Times
- CZ states that none of his friends or anyone within Binance disappeared when things got difficult .
- All the Binance co-founders from 2017 are still with the company, indicating a strong, cohesive team .
- In contrast, many projects in the broader crypto industry made grand promises but disappeared months later .
6. Industry Views and Security Incidents
CZ shares his advice for Elon Musk regarding X Money, explains his conservative approach to security during hacks, and clarifies Binance's stance on competitors like HyperLiquid.
6.1. Advice for Elon Musk and X Money
- CZ invested $500 million in Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter (now X) in 2022 .
- If Elon Musk were to build X Money with Bitcoin at its center, CZ would tell him to "go for it" .
- He views this as positive for the crypto industry .
- CZ believes such a development is "not far" off, noting discussions on X about accepting stablecoins, with Bitcoin and Ethereum acceptance being "one click away" .
6.2. Security Philosophy: Pausing Withdrawals During Hacks
- During the Bybit hack, CZ publicly suggested pausing withdrawals, a more conservative approach than Bybit CEO Ben Zhou took .
- CZ believes there's no "right or wrong" in such situations, as it's a judgment call based on internal information .
- In 2019, when Binance was hacked for $40 million, CZ's first action was to pause all withdrawals and systems .
- He likens this to a "big red button" that anyone in an exchange should be able to press to stop everything during a security incident .
- This allows for thorough analysis before slowly resuming operations .
- Binance paused withdrawals for one week but resumed trading after a few hours to prevent price desynchronization .
- During that week, Binance made significant system upgrades, including transitioning to a serverless architecture .
- CZ's public suggestion to Bybit was an attempt to help Ben Zhou gain social credibility to pause withdrawals, reducing potential customer backlash .
- He believes his advice would not have dramatically changed the outcome of the Bybit hack, as the primary hack had already occurred .
6.3. Binance's Stance on Competitors
- CZ dismisses the idea that Binance views HyperLiquid as a threat or tries to slow its momentum .
- He encourages more crypto exchanges to innovate, as the market is nowhere near saturated .
- Crypto penetration is estimated at 5-15% of people, but less than 1% in terms of net worth .
- The future fintech market size is expected to be much larger, so more players are needed to grow the industry .
- CZ acknowledges that HyperLiquid tried to build a community by portraying centralized exchanges, especially Binance, as "evil" .
- However, Binance welcomes decentralized exchanges and even saw its own BNB token and Bitcoin rise after HyperLiquid was mentioned .
- CZ believes that pioneers in a field may not always be the biggest long-term winners, citing examples like Google, Facebook, and Binance itself .
- He roots for HyperLiquid's success, viewing their innovations as beneficial for the entire industry .
- Binance, as a large shareholder of its centralized exchange, also invests heavily in the ecosystem and holds BNB, so industry growth benefits them .
6.4. HYPE Token Listing on Binance
- CZ states he stepped away from managing Binance when the HYPE token was gaining traction, so he doesn't know the specific listing situation .
- His understanding is that for a long time, HYPE token wasn't circulating and was controlled on its own chain .
- Binance's policy required holding tokens on its own infrastructure to protect against counterparty risk .
- This may no longer be an issue, but CZ is unsure of the current situation .
7. The 10/10 Crash and CZ's Future Contributions
CZ debunks the narrative that Binance caused the 10/10 crypto crash, explains why the market sought a villain, and outlines his current focus on positive impact through regulatory frameworks and education.
7.1. The 10/10 Crypto Crash
- CZ believes a competitor heavily promoted the story that Binance caused the 10/10 crash, even though price changes occurred on that competitor's exchange first .
- The sequence of events was: President Trump announced tariffs, stocks and crypto tanked, and then Binance had a small technical issue with a minor stablecoin (Athena USD) .
- This small issue was not the cause of the 10/10 crash .
- Media and figures like Cathie Wood initially attributed the crash to Binance, but Cathie Wood later clarified that she didn't believe Binance caused the entire crash .
- A timeline posted by Haseeb from Dragonfly showed Trump's tariff announcement preceding Binance's issue .
- CZ notes that people wanted a villain for the crash, especially after losing money .
- Binance compensated users who suffered losses with about $800 million, despite no obligation to do so, but this was largely overlooked .
- Despite negative narratives, Binance experienced net inflows of deposits, and its market share did not drop, indicating user trust .
- CZ did not tweet "4" during this event because it was driven by community members and KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders), some of whom were allegedly paid to spread negative information .
7.2. CZ's Future Contributions to Crypto
- CZ states that even if Binance were to disappear, he would continue to do what he can for crypto .
- He currently spends his time talking with governments about crypto regulatory frameworks to foster innovation and protect consumers .
- He also invests in Web3 projects through Easy Labs and works with founders .
- He dedicates time to Giggle Academy, a free education platform .
- His primary focus in life now is maximizing positive impact, which he believes brings intrinsic happiness .
- He aims to do his best to make positive contributions, regardless of the specific goal or target .
8. Education Philosophy and Market Influence
CZ shares his controversial views on education, advocating for specialization and AI-driven learning, and clarifies that he does not believe he has the power to move crypto markets.
8.1. Contrarian Views on Education
- CZ believes the current education system aims to produce an "average, predictable, factory worker type of person" .
- In today's hyper-competitive world, individuals need to be in the top 1% or 0.1% in their field to succeed, which requires specialization .
- He argues that schools often force students to spend more time on weak subjects to achieve average results, rather than focusing on their strengths .
- CZ views the traditional teacher system as hugely expensive and often ineffective .
- The average quality of teachers is low because they are not paid enough, leading capable individuals to other professions .
- The system is inefficient, with one teacher instructing many students .
- He believes an AI-driven, app-driven, individually tailored curriculum delivered through digital platforms would be much more effective .
- While robots could offer physical education, apps are more scalable and can address social interaction through organized offline events .
- Kids prefer human-designed stories with AI assistance over fully AI-generated content .
- Robots are currently "clunky" and lack the high-fidelity interaction needed, making app-based solutions more practical for scaling .
8.2. Market Influence and Bullish Tweets
- CZ denies having the power to move the crypto market, despite a bullish tweet coinciding with a 20% market pump .
- He tweets bullishly multiple times a day and did not know President Trump would make a positive speech about crypto five hours after his specific tweet .
- His tweet, "if you want the future you to appreciate what you did today then dot dot dot," was inspired by a quote he read .
- He adapted it to encourage crypto investment, and its timing with Trump's speech was coincidental .
- CZ emphasizes that if he had any insider information, he would not tweet about it .
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